KU-WVU 💰 Pro Money and a lesson from TCU
KU-WVU 💰 Pro Money and a lesson from TCU
A quick hearing on the vibe around the team this week
I AM NOT RECOMMENDING ANY BETTING OR WAGERS. THESE ARE MY INTERPRETATIONS OF TRENDS I FIND INTERESTING. I CAN'T GUARANTEE THE ACCURACY OF THIS CONTENT OR MY INTERPRETATION OF IT. THIS IS NOT BETTING ADVICE. IF YOU CHOOSE TO PLACE ANY BETS, YOU DO SO AT YOUR OWN RISK.
In This Newsletter
A lesson for KU learned from the TCU win
Stat of the day
Betting markets and my take
Before The Bets
One quick hearing on how the team has handled a long break after the TCU win.
The TCU win showed KU first-hand the value of winning games ugly. The lesson: make the other team play worse, and you don’t have to worry about making shots.
The team is well aware it’s playing for a Big 12 championship right now. They aren’t hiding from it, either.. The message internally: win this thing by playing one game at a time.
Stat of The Day
Kansas has covered the spread in six of their last seven games vs. West Virginia (via ActionNetwork)
The Bets
TODAY: Kansas Jayhawks vs. WVU Huggy Has Never Won at AFH Mountaineers
Opening spread: Kansas favored by 9 points
Current spread: Kansas favored by 9.5 or 10 points depending on which book you use (as of 12:30pm CT)
DraftKings is reporting 76% of bettors and 81% of money wagered is on Kansas to cover the spread. (via VSiN)
Action Network is reporting 59% of bettors and 19% of money wagered is on Kansas to cover the spread.
My Take:
The Pro numbers between the two books are way out of wack. I don’t see any consistent trend to use here outside of the line moving in KU’s direction.
I’m not going to bet Kansas by 9 or 10 against a desperate team that should be scrappy. But, if you need some action, KJ Adams over 11.5 points is enticing. He took nine shots in the first meeting between the two teams, which is a good sign.
Take a look at Adams’ shot chart below. There are some high-quality misses there around the basket.
Good luck today if you’re betting and rock chalk.